What To / Where To: Providence vs. Southern Game Preview

dave@friarblog —  November 22nd, 2011 9:09 AM —  Comments
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In one of his season preview pieces, Andy Glockner of Sports Illustrated took a look at out of conference schedules of various teams. He came up with some rules that he applied to their opponents to determine how easy a schedule was.

1) Any type of punctuation mark (ampersand, apostrophe, hyphen, period)
2) Any in-state directional notation
3) Any State that is not actually named for a state
4) Any name of a religion in it
5) Any affiliation with the SWAC, which is 2-213 over the past six seasons vs. teams in BCS conferences
In rare situations, you can schedule a “multiple violator,” a team that satisfies more than one of those rules. In those cases, your fans are absolutely certain a well-compensated sacrificial lamb is in town.

See that’s why Florida A&M was so easy! That pesky ampersand. Well Southern is in the SWAC, so there’s one violation. Even though they are not technically an in-state directional notation, I think they should get bonus points for being just a direction.

Anyways, with the depth problems and rebuilding efforts in place for this Providence Friars team, it’s pretty hard for opponents to be considered cupcakes. However, this game might be the cupcakiest of cupcake games out there. Unless you count Boston College.


Game Time: 7:00PM EST

Opponent: Southern (1-2)

Location: The DUNK

Spread: N/A

ESPN Accuscore: Providence 76.8, Southern 58.7 (PC wins 88.6% of 10,000 simulations, and has 76% chance of big win)

CBSSports Daily Picks: Providence 78, Southern 63

Southern Player Impact


Rebounding Challenged: The Friars have let some poor rebounding teams grab their fair share of second chance opportunities, but they really have no excuse against Southern. After 3 games, the Jaguars are dead last in the nation in offensive rebounding percentage, getting only 10.9% of their own misses back. In fact, only THREE Southern players have an offensive rebound (Quinton Doggett, Frederick Coleman, Michael Celestine)! They only have 11 total offensive rebounds. Providence got 11 in their last game against Florida A&M, and they pretty much didn’t have to try for most of the 2nd half.

Friars Should Excel Defensively: Southern has been playing at a slightly faster pace than the Friars so far (raw possession totals of 62,68,69), but have not been anywhere as efficient. When adjusted for competition, the Jaguars have an 87.0 adjusted offensive efficiency rating. Only 6 teams in the nation have a worse rating. The team doesn’t take many threes, is not great at getting to the line, and is ranked #193 in 2-point shots with a 46.2% percentage.

Southern Spread (Out): When looking at the players who get the most time out on the court, only junior guard Derick Beltran (23.1% possession percentage) and senior forward Quinton Doggett (24.1%) have usage rates above 20%. The other three starters hover around 18%, so they definitely like to spread their offense around.

Manute Bol’s Son: Junior center Madut Bol is the son of the late great Manute Bol. He isn’t as tall or talented as his old man, and only averaged 5 points and 2 rebounds in around 15 minutes per game as a sophomore last season. However, he did play high school ball at St. Anthony’s in Jersey City, so he’s got that going for him. Plus he’s got the family cruise line business.


StatSheet.com: Pregame

Friars.com: Gamenotes [PDF]

Roman Banks took over the Head Coaching duties this season for the Jaguars. Newcomers Cameron Monroe, Derick Beltran and Russell Hill will look to produce for the Jaguars. This season, the Jaguars have registered a 1-2 record. The Jaguars are led by Derick Beltran, who is averaging 13.3 ppg. Quinton Doggett is adding 12.3 ppg, 7.7 rpg and 1.0 assists per a game.

ESPN: Roman Banks not afraid of new challenge

Then in May, after Banks was hired, the NCAA banned Southern from the postseason for one year and took away scholarships due to the program’s substandard Academic Progress Rate.

“As excited as I’ve been, we’ve had frustrations trying to sell the program to where it wants to be,” Banks said. “It took several years for this to happen. Like people always tell me, it’s going to take a little time.

Washington Post: Turner scores 20 points and No. 20 Texas A&M beats Southern 83-58 in Kennedy’s return to bench

A&M (2-0) raced to a 46-21 halftime lead against the Jaguars (1-1), outrebounded them 44-21 and the contest never was in doubt in the second half. A&M has won 62 consecutive nonconference home games dating to the start of the 2005-06 season.

“We were outmanned most of the night,” Southern coach Roman Banks said. “We had no answer for their bodies on the inside.”

Woodlands Online: Rice men’s hoops pull away from Southern, 80-65

Southern had six, second-chance points in the first half off five offensive rebounds but Rice shutout the Jaguars on the offensive glass in the second half. For the game, the Owls posted a 42-28 advantage on the boards.

Quinton Doggett led Southern with 18 points and eight rebounds while Derick Beltran added 14 points for the Jaguars.

ESPN: Southern University Blue Ribbon Preview [INSIDER]

Banks takes over a program that has lost its way on the court — 17 wins in the last three seasons — and off it as well. Southern is serving a one-year postseason ban for subpar APR scores.

On the plus side, there’s nowhere to go but up, and Banks — with his sunny personality and strong relationships with Louisiana high school coaches — seems like the right man to take the program there.

It just won’t be this year. Expect the Jaguars to stay near the bottom of the SWAC standings. But given some time and a couple recruiting classes, Banks will have Southern’s stock back on the rise.


Highlights of the mens home opening win against the Dillard Bleu Devils 67-48.

Southern men’s basketball head coach Roman Banks addresses the media Tuesday after Stump Mitchell’s weekly presser. The Roman Banks era of Jaguars basketball officially begins Friday at the F.G. Clark Activity Center against Dillard. Recorded on November 8, 2011 using a Flip Video camera.


Friars.com: Gametracker

Twitter.com: I’ll probably be live tweeting the game @friarblog. Also be sure to follow the #pcbb hashtag as always.


Friars.com: All-Access

Free Video Stream

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