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Friars on ESPN’s Bubble Watch

dave@friarblog —  March 7th, 2013 9:22 AM —  Comments

So the Friars have been the last team in Joe Lunardi’s “Next Four Out” section for the past couple of nights on Bracketology after the win over Seton Hall. ESPN also updated their Bubble Watch, which finally includes the Providence Friars.

Providence [17-12 (9-8), RPI: 77, SOS: 59] How soft is this bubble? Soft enough that if you stare really hard at it, you come to the at-first baffling conclusion that you must at least consider Providence at the very tail end of at-large tournament contention. To be honest, like fellow fringer Iowa, Ed Cooley’s team has been a lot better than you think this season (albeit not as good as the Hawkeyes — just similarly underrated). Their resume, on the other hand? Other than two home wins over Cincinnati and Notre Dame, a suddenly impressive sweep over Villanova and seven wins in their past eight, there’s still not much there. But would a win at UConn on Saturday get them close? Closer, at least. Worth keeping an eye on.

Is it too early for Bubble Watch talk?  Last year we had quite a love/hate relationship with those prognosticators as the Friars moved all around the place in NCAA Tournament discussions.  Well, this might be our only mention in any NCAA Tournament discussion this season.  Look, I love PC Basketball and I want to see them succeed just a much as the next Friar Fanatic, but this seems a bit nuts.  Of course, they name 13 of the 16 teams, so basically this guy just thinks the BIG EAST is awesome I suppose.  Plus, our rankings and numbers aren’t half bad.  Our upcoming BIG EAST schedule might just take care of that.

Pac-10 outlook grim in first Bubble Watch

IN THE MIX

Providence (10-6, 2-2, RPI: 72, SOS: 39) is a very fringe candidate at this point. The Friars’ profile is completely barren.

Very very very fringe.  Maybe so fringe Andy Glockner is referring to that in order to think they are in the mix for the NCAA’s you’d have to be hooked up to one of Walter Bishop’s crazy science experiments in the TV Show Fringe.

H/T kylehill on Twitter

ESPN Bubble Watch Friday Update

dave@friarblog —  March 13th, 2009 2:02 PM

Updated Bubble Watch

Let’s face it: It’ll be quite some time before anyone at Madison Square Garden will be talking about anything other than that six-overtime classic between Syracuse and Connecticut on Thursday night. The only Big East mystery besides seeding that remains is Providence, the last bubble team from the league. The Friars lost to Louisville 73-55 in Thursday’s second round, probably ending their hopes of getting an at-large bid. Providence finished 10-8 in Big East play, but its only high-end victories came against Syracuse and Pittsburgh. With a 2-8 record against RPI top-50 foes and 6-13 mark against the top 100, the Friars will probably be left out of the NCAA field on Selection Sunday.

Providence [19-13 (10-8), RPI: 71, SOS: 60] After Thursday’s 18-point loss to Louisville, it doesn’t look great for PC. Other teams on the bubble simply have more meat on their resumes. The Friars upset then-No. 1 Pittsburgh 81-73 on Feb. 24 and beat Syracuse 100-94 on Jan. 28. But those are really the only quality wins in Providence’s inflated 10-8 finish in Big East play. PC also swept games against Cincinnati and beat Rhode Island at home. Providence is 2-8 against RPI top-50 foes and 6-13 against the top 100. The Friars have four blowout road losses in Big East play, having lost at Connecticut by 33 points, Louisville by 18, Villanova by 17 and West Virginia by 27.

ESPN Bubble Watch Update

dave@friarblog —  March 12th, 2009 2:13 PM

PC survives for now, while A&M makes its Sunday a little more uneasy

Providence, the lone remaining Big East bubble team, struggled to put away the Blue Demons on Wednesday before finally pulling away for an 83-74 win. Next up for the Friars: No. 1 seed Louisville in Thursday’s quarterfinals. With only two victories over RPI top-50 opponents, the Friars might have to beat the Cardinals to earn a spot in the NCAA tournament.

Providence [19-12 (10-8), RPI: 72, SOS: 49] The Friars won’t get much mileage from Wedneday’s nine-point victory over DePaul, which hadn’t beaten a Big East opponent this season until it upset Georgetown in Tuesday’s opening round. Providence will probably have to beat top-seeded Louisville on Thursday to have much of a chance of earning an at-large bid. Other teams on the bubble simply have more meat on their resume. The Friars upset then-No. 1 Pittsburgh 81-73 on Feb. 24 and also beat Syracuse 100-94 on Jan. 28. But those are really the only quality wins in Providence’s inflated 10-8 finish in Big East play. PC also swept games against Cincinnati and beat Rhode Island at home. Providence is 2-7 against RPI top-50 foes and 6-12 against the top 100. The Friars have four blowout road losses in Big East play, having lost at Connecticut by 33 points, Louisville by 18, Villanova by 17 and West Virginia by 27.

DePaul beat Georgetown? Fact checking FAIL.

As expected, lots of PC talk on ESPN.com regarding the bubble.  Good news is that nobody from ESPN is on the Selection Committee.  Bad news is that the general consensus of the WWL is that the Friars would need to win two games in the BET.

I wouldn’t read too much into these, but here ya go.

Joey Brackets Updated Bracketology

FIRST FOUR OUT

San Diego State Creighton Florida Miami

NEXT FOUR OUT

Davidson Maryland PROVIDENCE Temple

Bubble Watch man Mark Schlabach also fielded some PC related questions

Clifford (CT): Can Providence get in with one win in the big east tourney or do they have to beat Louisville?

SportsNationMark Schlabach: I think it would be debated for a long time by the committee if Providence won only once in New York. 10-8 finish in Big East helps, but they basically have wins over Pitt and Syracuse and that’s it. Friars had some bad road losses in the Big East and were recently blown out at home by Notre Dame. I think they’re definitely on the bubble, but it’s debatable which way it might go.
Chris ( Syracuse, NY): How Many Team from the big East will make the NCAA Tourney?

SportsNationMark Schlabach: Minimum of seven and possibly eight. Providence has the best chance of becoming the eighth team in the dance, but Georgetown, Notre Dame and Cincinnati could do it by getting to the Big East tourney championship game.
Mike (Boston): I have watched alomst all of Providences games this year and have to say that they are pretty much nothing more than ordinary. With that being said how can the committee overlook them having 10 wins in the best conference in America? Also I wouldnt say that beating Pitt and Syracuse are their only good wins. They beat Cinn 2x and also beat a solid Seton Hall team and Rhode Island.

SportsNationMark Schlabach: You give them some credit for finishing 10-6 and beating Pitt and Syracuse, but you have to look a little deeper, too. Did you realize that eight of Providence’s 10 Big East wins came against teams with losing records in Big East play, including six wins over teams that finished in the bottom five? I’m not knocking the Friars — they beat Pitt after all — but you don’t automatically get in for finishing 10-6 in the Big East. It’s also about which teams you beat to do it.

Just win baby.

ESPN Bubble Watch Update (3/9/09)

dave@friarblog —  March 9th, 2009 1:55 PM

Updated after all of Sunday’s action

No. 1 seeds in the NCAA tournament will be on the line when the Big East begins its conference tournament in New York on Tuesday. Top seeds Louisville, Pittsburgh, Connecticut and Villanova won’t play until Thursday’s quarterfinals, but the top three seeds could all be in contention for top lines in the NCAA bracket. Three other Big East teams — Syracuse, West Virginia and Marquette — have locked up at-large bids, but Providence can enhance its chance by winning a couple of games in Madison Square Garden. Three other teams — No. 9 seed Cincinnati, No. 10 seed Notre Dame and No. 12 seed Georgetown — would probably have to make an unlikely run to the tournament’s championship game to have even a remote chance on Selection Sunday.

Providence [18-12 (10-8), RPI: 71, SOS: 48] The Friars will probably have to win at least once in this week’s Big East tournament at Madison Square Garden in New York to have a chance at an at-large bid. They’ll play the winner of DePaul/Cincinnati in Wednesday’s second round and, with a victory, would play No. 1 seed Louisville in Thursday’s quarterfinals. Providence is coming off a 97-80 loss at Villanova on Thursday, which didn’t help its at-large chances. The Friars have four blowout road losses in Big East play, losing at Connecticut by 33 points, Louisville by 18, Villanova by 17 and West Virginia by 27. The Friars upset then-No. 1 Pittsburgh 81-73 on Feb. 24 and also beat Syracuse 100-94 on Jan. 28. PC also swept games against Cincinnati and beat Rhode Island at home. Providence is 2-8 against RPI top-50 foes and 6-12 against the top 100.

You can do it!

Updated Bubble Watch

The country’s largest college basketball conference seems assured of getting at least seven teams into the NCAA tournament. But the Big East’s hopes of getting an eighth team in the Big Dance took several hits this week, with Georgetown losing at St. John’s, Cincinnati losing at South Florida and Notre Dame losing by 17 at home to Villanova. Providence, which plays at Nova on Thursday night, seems to be the league’s last hope for another at-large bid.

Providence [18-11 (10-7), RPI: 69, SOS: 56] The Friars haven’t played since winning 73-66 at Rutgers on Sunday, but they’ve still won big this week. With Georgetown, Cincinnati and Notre Dame losing, Providence has the best chance of becoming the Big East’s eighth participant in the NCAA tournament. It has won four of its past six games, including a stunning 81-73 upset of then No. 1-ranked Pittsburgh on Feb. 24. The Friars are 3-7 against RPI top-50 opponents, 5-11 against the top 100 and 4-5 in road games. Providence closes the regular season at Villanova on Thursday night, but it already is guaranteed of finishing at least 10-8 in Big East play. An upset of Villanova would go a long way in locking up an NCAA at-large bid. Even if Providence loses in Philadelphia, it could probably earn an at-large bid by winning one or two games in the upcoming Big East tournament in New York. The Friars swept two games against Cincinnati and also beat Syracuse and Rhode Island at home.